Upload
davd-alfrdo-quispe-yana
View
34
Download
7
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Cálculo de Precipitaciones Máximas Mediante los Métodos Estadísticos(Uso de los Factores de Frecuencia)
Información de Precipitaciones Máximas para 38 años de registro Estación Laraqueri-Puno
Año PP PP Posición P >= PP (%) T (años) Y=Log PPmm mm m m/(N+1) (N+1)/m
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1963 37.7 53.5 1 0.03 39.00 1.7284
1964 40.3 49.5 2 0.05 19.50 1.6946
1965 39.6 45.3 3 0.08 13.00 1.6561
1966 37.0 45.3 4 0.10 9.75 1.6561
1967 30.3 44.6 5 0.13 7.80 1.6493
1968 27.2 44.1 6 0.15 6.50 1.6444
1969 21.6 42.2 7 0.18 5.57 1.6253
1970 28.4 41.8 8 0.21 4.88 1.6212
1971 31.8 40.3 9 0.23 4.33 1.6053
1972 27.6 40.3 10 0.26 3.90 1.6053
1973 25.2 39.9 11 0.28 3.55 1.6010
1974 45.3 39.6 12 0.31 3.25 1.5977
1975 30.0 38.7 13 0.33 3.00 1.5877
1976 40.3 37.7 14 0.36 2.79 1.5763
1977 25.9 37.7 15 0.38 2.60 1.5763
1978 30.3 37 16 0.41 2.44 1.5682
1979 45.3 35.6 17 0.44 2.29 1.5514
1980 24.4 33.8 18 0.46 2.17 1.5289
1981 29.8 31.8 19 0.49 2.05 1.5024
1982 23.7 30.4 20 0.51 1.95 1.4829
1983 30.4 30.3 21 0.54 1.86 1.4814
1984 37.7 30.3 22 0.56 1.77 1.4814
1985 44.6 30 23 0.59 1.70 1.4771
1986 42.2 29.8 24 0.62 1.63 1.4742
1987 29.3 29.3 25 0.64 1.56 1.4669
1988 24.3 28.4 26 0.67 1.50 1.4533
1989 53.5 27.6 27 0.69 1.44 1.4409
1990 26.4 27.2 28 0.72 1.39 1.4346
1991 24.8 26.4 29 0.74 1.34 1.4216
1992 24.5 25.9 30 0.77 1.30 1.4133
1993 39.9 25.2 31 0.79 1.26 1.4014
1994 44.1 24.8 32 0.82 1.22 1.3945
1995 38.7 24.5 33 0.85 1.18 1.3892
1996 41.8 24.4 34 0.87 1.15 1.3874
1997 49.5 24.3 35 0.90 1.11 1.3856
1998 33.8 24.2 36 0.92 1.08 1.3838
1999 24.2 23.7 37 0.95 1.05 1.3747
2000 35.6 21.6 38 0.97 1.03 1.3345
Media 33.87 Media 1.5172
Desv. Est. 8.32 Des. Est. 0.1056
Cof. Asim. 0.4567 Cof. Asim. 0.1328
Análisis de Precipitaciones Máximas - Método Log-Normal
T P K = Z Y PP (mm)años estimado antilog(Y)
2 0.50000 0.0000 1.5172 32.90
5 0.20000 0.8415 1.6061 40.37
10 0.10000 1.2817 1.6526 44.94
25 0.04000 1.7511 1.7022 50.37
50 0.02000 2.0542 1.7342 54.23
75 0.01333 2.2168 1.7514 56.41
100 0.01000 2.3268 1.7630 57.94
150 0.00667 2.4752 1.7787 60.07
200 0.00500 2.5762 1.7894 61.57
300 0.00333 2.7134 1.8038 63.66
400 0.00250 2.8074 1.8138 65.13
500 0.00200 2.8785 1.8213 66.26
1000 0.00100 3.0905 1.8437 69.77
Análisis de Precipitaciones Máximas - Método de Gumbel
T P K PP (mm)años
2 0.50000 -0.1643 32.50
5 0.20000 0.7195 39.85
10 0.10000 1.3046 44.72
25 0.04000 2.0438 50.87
50 0.02000 2.5923 55.44
75 0.01333 2.9111 58.09
100 0.01000 3.1367 59.97
150 0.00667 3.4541 62.61
200 0.00500 3.6791 64.48
300 0.00333 3.9959 67.12
400 0.00250 4.2205 68.99
500 0.00200 4.3947 70.43
1000 0.00100 4.9355 74.93
Análisis de Precipitaciones Máximas - Método Log-Pearson Tipo III
T P K Y PP (mm)años estimado antilog(Y)
2 0.50000 -0.0221 1.5149 32.73
5 0.20000 0.8343 1.6054 40.30
10 0.10000 1.2950 1.6540 45.08
25 0.04000 1.7959 1.7069 50.93
50 0.02000 2.1248 1.7417 55.17
75 0.01333 2.3030 1.7605 57.61
100 0.01000 2.4242 1.7733 59.33
150 0.00667 2.5886 1.7907 61.75
200 0.00500 2.7012 1.8026 63.47
300 0.00333 2.8548 1.8188 65.88
400 0.00250 2.9605 1.8299 67.60
500 0.00200 3.0407 1.8384 68.93
1000 0.00100 3.2815 1.8638 73.09
Comparación de los Valores de Precipitaciones Máximas Obtenidos
T P PP (mm) PP (mm) PP (mm)años Log-Normal Gumbel Log-Pearson
2 0.50000 32.90 32.50 32.73
5 0.20000 40.37 39.85 40.30
10 0.10000 44.94 44.72 45.08
25 0.04000 50.37 50.87 50.93
50 0.02000 54.23 55.44 55.17
75 0.01333 56.41 58.09 57.61
100 0.01000 57.94 59.97 59.33
150 0.00667 60.07 62.61 61.75
200 0.00500 61.57 64.48 63.47
300 0.00333 63.66 67.12 65.88
400 0.00250 65.13 68.99 67.60
500 0.00200 66.26 70.43 68.93
1000 0.00100 69.77 74.93 73.09
Cálculo de los Límites de Confianza - Método Log-NormalGrados de libertad: 28 - 2 = 26 t (estad.) = 2.056
T P K = Z Y IC(Y) LCI(Y) LCS(Y) LCI(PP) LCS(PP)años
2 0.50000 0.0000 1.5172 0.0410 1.4762 1.5583 29.94 36.16
5 0.20000 0.8415 1.6061 0.0478 1.5584 1.6539 36.17 45.07
10 0.10000 1.2817 1.6526 0.0554 1.5972 1.7080 39.56 51.05
25 0.04000 1.7511 1.7022 0.0653 1.6369 1.7675 43.34 58.55
50 0.02000 2.0542 1.7342 0.0724 1.6618 1.8066 45.90 64.06
75 0.01333 2.2168 1.7514 0.0763 1.6751 1.8277 47.32 67.25
100 0.01000 2.3268 1.7630 0.0790 1.6840 1.8420 48.30 69.51
150 0.00667 2.4752 1.7787 0.0827 1.6959 1.8614 49.65 72.68
200 0.00500 2.5762 1.7894 0.0853 1.7041 1.8746 50.59 74.93
300 0.00333 2.7134 1.8038 0.0888 1.7150 1.8926 51.89 78.10
400 0.00250 2.8074 1.8138 0.0912 1.7225 1.9050 52.79 80.35
500 0.00200 2.8785 1.8213 0.0931 1.7282 1.9144 53.48 82.10
1000 0.00100 3.0905 1.8437 0.0986 1.7450 1.9423 55.60 87.56
Cálculo de los Límites de Confianza - Método de GumbelGrados de libertad: 28 - 2 = 26 t (estad.) = 2.056
T P K PP (mm) IC(PP) LCI(PP) LCS(PP)años
2 0.50000 -0.1643 32.50 3.25 29.25 35.76
5 0.20000 0.7195 39.85 3.63 36.23 43.48
10 0.10000 1.3046 44.72 4.40 40.32 49.12
25 0.04000 2.0438 50.87 5.68 45.19 56.56
50 0.02000 2.5923 55.44 6.75 48.69 62.19
75 0.01333 2.9111 58.09 7.40 50.69 65.49
100 0.01000 3.1367 59.97 7.87 52.10 67.83
150 0.00667 3.4541 62.61 8.53 54.08 71.14
200 0.00500 3.6791 64.48 9.01 55.47 73.49
300 0.00333 3.9959 67.12 9.69 57.43 76.81
400 0.00250 4.2205 68.99 10.18 58.81 79.16
500 0.00200 4.3947 70.43 10.55 59.88 80.99
1000 0.00100 4.9355 74.93 11.74 63.20 86.67
Cálculo de los Límites de Confianza - Método Log-Pearson Tipo IIIGrados de libertad: 28 - 3 = 25 t (estad.) = 2.06
T P K Y IC(Y) LCI(Y) LCS(Y) LCI(PP) LCS(PP)años
2 0.50000 -0.0221 1.5149 0.0411 1.4738 1.5560 29.77 35.98
5 0.20000 0.8343 1.6054 0.0477 1.5576 1.6531 36.11 44.99
10 0.10000 1.2950 1.6540 0.0558 1.5983 1.7098 39.65 51.26
25 0.04000 1.7959 1.7069 0.0665 1.6405 1.7734 43.70 59.35
50 0.02000 2.1248 1.7417 0.0742 1.6675 1.8159 46.50 65.45
75 0.01333 2.3030 1.7605 0.0786 1.6819 1.8391 48.07 69.04
100 0.01000 2.4242 1.7733 0.0816 1.6917 1.8549 49.17 71.60
150 0.00667 2.5886 1.7907 0.0858 1.7049 1.8764 50.69 75.24
200 0.00500 2.7012 1.8026 0.0887 1.7139 1.8912 51.75 77.84
300 0.00333 2.8548 1.8188 0.0926 1.7261 1.9114 53.23 81.55
400 0.00250 2.9605 1.8299 0.0954 1.7345 1.9253 54.27 84.20
500 0.00200 3.0407 1.8384 0.0975 1.7409 1.9359 55.07 86.28
1000 0.00100 3.2815 1.8638 0.1039 1.7599 1.9677 57.54 92.84
FACTOR DE FRECUENCIA K = Z FACTOR DE FRECUENCIA KDISTRIBUCION NORMAL DISTRIBUCION TIPO I - GUMBEL
Coeficiente
T P W K T P Kaños años
1 1.00000 infinito infinito 1 1.00000 infinito
2 0.50000 1.1774 0.0000 2 0.50000 -0.1643
3 0.33333 1.4823 0.4303 3 0.33333 0.2538
4 0.25000 1.6651 0.6742 4 0.25000 0.5214
5 0.20000 1.7941 0.8415 5 0.20000 0.7195
6 0.16667 1.8930 0.9674 6 0.16667 0.8770
8 0.12500 2.0393 1.1504 8 0.12500 1.1198
10 0.10000 2.1460 1.2817 10 0.10000 1.3046
15 0.06667 2.3273 1.5014 15 0.06667 1.6347
20 0.05000 2.4477 1.6452 20 0.05000 1.8658
25 0.04000 2.5373 1.7511 25 0.04000 2.0438
30 0.03333 2.6081 1.8343 30 0.03333 2.1887
35 0.02857 2.6666 1.9026 35 0.02857 2.3108
40 0.02500 2.7162 1.9604 40 0.02500 2.4163
45 0.02222 2.7592 2.0103 45 0.02222 2.5093
50 0.02000 2.7971 2.0542 50 0.02000 2.5923
55 0.01818 2.8310 2.0933 55 0.01818 2.6673
60 0.01667 2.8616 2.1285 60 0.01667 2.7358
65 0.01538 2.8894 2.1605 65 0.01538 2.7987
70 0.01429 2.9150 2.1898 70 0.01429 2.8569
75 0.01333 2.9385 2.2168 75 0.01333 2.9111
80 0.01250 2.9604 2.2418 80 0.01250 2.9617
85 0.01176 2.9808 2.2652 85 0.01176 3.0093
90 0.01111 2.9999 2.2870 90 0.01111 3.0541
95 0.01053 3.0179 2.3075 95 0.01053 3.0965
100 0.01000 3.0349 2.3268 100 0.01000 3.1367
125 0.00800 3.1075 2.4093 125 0.00800 3.3115
150 0.00667 3.1656 2.4752 150 0.00667 3.4541
175 0.00571 3.2140 2.5297 175 0.00571 3.5747
200 0.00500 3.2552 2.5762 200 0.00500 3.6791
250 0.00400 3.3231 2.6525 250 0.00400 3.8535
300 0.00333 3.3775 2.7134 300 0.00333 3.9959
350 0.00286 3.4228 2.7641 350 0.00286 4.1163
400 0.00250 3.4616 2.8074 400 0.00250 4.2205
450 0.00222 3.4955 2.8451 450 0.00222 4.3125
500 0.00200 3.5255 2.8785 500 0.00200 4.3947
550 0.00182 3.5524 2.9084 550 0.00182 4.4691
600 0.00167 3.5769 2.9355 600 0.00167 4.5370
650 0.00154 3.5992 2.9603 650 0.00154 4.5994
700 0.00143 3.6197 2.9830 700 0.00143 4.6573
750 0.00133 3.6387 3.0041 750 0.00133 4.7111
800 0.00125 3.6564 3.0236 800 0.00125 4.7614
850 0.00118 3.6729 3.0419 850 0.00118 4.8087
900 0.00111 3.6885 3.0591 900 0.00111 4.8533
950 0.00105 3.7031 3.0753 950 0.00105 4.8955
1000 0.00100 3.7169 3.0905 1000 0.00100 4.9355
1500 0.00067 3.8245 3.2090 1500 0.00067 5.2518
2000 0.00050 3.8989 3.2908 2000 0.00050 5.4762
2500 0.00040 3.9558 3.3530 2500 0.00040 5.6502
3000 0.00033 4.0016 3.4031 3000 0.00033 5.7924
3500 0.00029 4.0399 3.4450 3500 0.00029 5.9126
4000 0.00025 4.0728 3.4809 4000 0.00025 6.0167
4500 0.00022 4.1017 3.5124 4500 0.00022 6.1086
5000 0.00020 4.1273 3.5402 5000 0.00020 6.1907
7500 0.00013 4.2244 3.6458 7500 0.00013 6.5069
8000 0.00013 4.2396 3.6624 8000 0.00013 6.5572
10000 0.00010 4.2919 3.7191 10000 0.00010 6.7312
FACTOR DE FRECUENCIA K PARA LA DISTRIBUCION DE PEARSON - TIPO III
Coeficiente PERIODO DE RETORNO (AÑOS)
de 2 5 10 25 50 75 100 200 500 1000
Asimetría PPROBABILIDAD DE EXCEDENCIA
(c) 0.500 0.200 0.100 0.040 0.020 0.013 0.010 0.005 0.002 0.001
-2.6 0.3469 0.6901 0.7460 0.7589 0.7594 0.7616 0.7648 0.7807 0.8224 0.8716
-2.5 0.3401 0.7055 0.7716 0.7909 0.7916 0.7924 0.7940 0.8037 0.8331 0.8702
-2.4 0.3326 0.7202 0.7973 0.8242 0.8265 0.8266 0.8271 0.8323 0.8517 0.8783
-2.3 0.3242 0.7342 0.8229 0.8588 0.8638 0.8640 0.8641 0.8662 0.8777 0.8958
-2.2 0.3152 0.7476 0.8484 0.8945 0.9034 0.9045 0.9047 0.9051 0.9109 0.9221
-2.1 0.3054 0.7602 0.8737 0.9312 0.9451 0.9479 0.9486 0.9489 0.9510 0.9570
-2.0 0.2949 0.7721 0.8989 0.9688 0.9887 0.9939 0.9958 0.9972 0.9976 1.0001
-1.9 0.2839 0.7832 0.9237 1.0072 1.0342 1.0424 1.0460 1.0499 1.0505 1.0510
-1.8 0.2722 0.7936 0.9483 1.0462 1.0813 1.0932 1.0989 1.1066 1.1094 1.1095
-1.7 0.2600 0.8032 0.9724 1.0858 1.1299 1.1461 1.1545 1.1672 1.1739 1.1752
-1.6 0.2473 0.8120 0.9962 1.1259 1.1799 1.2009 1.2124 1.2314 1.2439 1.2477
-1.5 0.2340 0.8201 1.0194 1.1663 1.2311 1.2576 1.2726 1.2990 1.3189 1.3267
-1.4 0.2204 0.8273 1.0421 1.2069 1.2833 1.3159 1.3349 1.3697 1.3988 1.4120
-1.3 0.2063 0.8338 1.0643 1.2477 1.3365 1.3756 1.3990 1.4434 1.4832 1.5031
-1.2 0.1919 0.8394 1.0858 1.2886 1.3904 1.4366 1.4647 1.5198 1.5719 1.5998
-1.1 0.1771 0.8442 1.1066 1.3293 1.4450 1.4988 1.5320 1.5987 1.6646 1.7019
-1.0 0.1620 0.8481 1.1268 1.3700 1.5002 1.5619 1.6007 1.6800 1.7610 1.8089
-0.9 0.1466 0.8513 1.1462 1.4104 1.5557 1.6259 1.6705 1.7633 1.8610 1.9205
-0.8 0.1309 0.8536 1.1648 1.4506 1.6115 1.6906 1.7414 1.8485 1.9642 2.0366
-0.7 0.1151 0.8550 1.1826 1.4903 1.6675 1.7558 1.8131 1.9355 2.0704 2.1568
-0.6 0.0990 0.8556 1.1996 1.5296 1.7235 1.8215 1.8855 2.0239 2.1794 2.2808
-0.5 0.0828 0.8553 1.2157 1.5683 1.7794 1.8874 1.9585 2.1137 2.2909 2.4084
-0.4 0.0664 0.8543 1.2308 1.6064 1.8351 1.9535 2.0319 2.2046 2.4047 2.5393
-0.3 0.0499 0.8523 1.2450 1.6438 1.8906 2.0196 2.1055 2.2965 2.5206 2.6732
-0.2 0.0333 0.8495 1.2583 1.6804 1.9456 2.0856 2.1793 2.3892 2.6384 2.8099
-0.1 0.0167 0.8459 1.2705 1.7162 2.0002 2.1514 2.2531 2.4825 2.7577 2.9491
0.0 0.0000 0.8415 1.2817 1.7511 2.0542 2.2168 2.3268 2.5762 2.8785 3.0905
0.1 -0.0167 0.8362 1.2919 1.7850 2.1075 2.2818 2.4002 2.6703 3.0005 3.2340
0.2 -0.0333 0.8301 1.3011 1.8180 2.1600 2.3462 2.4733 2.7645 3.1235 3.3793
0.3 -0.0499 0.8232 1.3091 1.8499 2.2117 2.4100 2.5458 2.8588 3.2474 3.5262
0.4 -0.0664 0.8155 1.3161 1.8806 2.2625 2.4731 2.6178 2.9528 3.3719 3.6744
0.5 -0.0828 0.8070 1.3221 1.9103 2.3123 2.5353 2.6890 3.0466 3.4968 3.8237
0.6 -0.0990 0.7978 1.3269 1.9387 2.3610 2.5965 2.7595 3.1400 3.6220 3.9740
0.7 -0.1151 0.7878 1.3306 1.9659 2.4085 2.6567 2.8290 3.2329 3.7473 4.1250
0.8 -0.1309 0.7771 1.3332 1.9918 2.4548 2.7159 2.8975 3.3250 3.8726 4.2765
0.9 -0.1466 0.7657 1.3348 2.0164 2.4999 2.7738 2.9650 3.4164 3.9976 4.4283
1.0 -0.1620 0.7536 1.3352 2.0397 2.5437 2.8305 3.0312 3.5069 4.1223 4.5802
1.1 -0.1771 0.7409 1.3346 2.0617 2.5860 2.8859 3.0962 3.5963 4.2464 4.7321
1.2 -0.1919 0.7275 1.3328 2.0822 2.6270 2.9399 3.1599 3.6846 4.3698 4.8838
1.3 -0.2063 0.7135 1.3301 2.1014 2.6665 2.9925 3.2222 3.7718 4.4925 5.0350
1.4 -0.2204 0.6990 1.3262 2.1191 2.7045 3.0435 3.2830 3.8576 4.6141 5.1858
1.5 -0.2340 0.6839 1.3214 2.1355 2.7410 3.0930 3.3423 3.9420 4.7348 5.3358
1.6 -0.2473 0.6683 1.3155 2.1504 2.7759 3.1410 3.4000 4.0249 4.8542 5.4850
1.7 -0.2600 0.6523 1.3087 2.1639 2.8092 3.1873 3.4561 4.1063 4.9723 5.6331
1.8 -0.2722 0.6358 1.3009 2.1760 2.8409 3.2319 3.5105 4.1860 5.0890 5.7801
1.9 -0.2839 0.6190 1.2922 2.1867 2.8710 3.2749 3.5632 4.2641 5.2043 5.9259
2.0 -0.2949 0.6018 1.2826 2.1960 2.8995 3.3162 3.6142 4.3404 5.3179 6.0703
2.1 -0.3054 0.5843 1.2721 2.2039 2.9263 3.3557 3.6634 4.4149 5.4298 6.2131
2.2 -0.3152 0.5667 1.2608 2.2105 2.9515 3.3935 3.7108 4.4876 5.5399 6.3544
2.3 -0.3242 0.5488 1.2488 2.2157 2.9750 3.4295 3.7564 4.5583 5.6482 6.4939
2.4 -0.3326 0.5308 1.2361 2.2196 2.9970 3.4638 3.8001 4.6272 5.7546 6.6317
2.5 -0.3401 0.5128 1.2227 2.2222 3.0173 3.4963 3.8420 4.6940 5.8589 6.7675
2.6 -0.3469 0.4947 1.2087 2.2236 3.0360 3.5271 3.8821 4.7589 5.9613 6.9013
2.7 -0.3527 0.4768 1.1942 2.2238 3.0532 3.5561 3.9204 4.8218 6.0615 7.0331
2.8 -0.3577 0.4589 1.1791 2.2228 3.0688 3.5834 3.9568 4.8826 6.1596 7.1628
2.9 -0.3616 0.4413 1.1637 2.2208 3.0829 3.6091 3.9914 4.9415 6.2556 7.2902
t t/Tp q q/qp0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2.00 0.10 3.00 0.03
6.00 0.30 19.00 0.19
8.00 0.40 31.00 0.31
12.00 0.60 66.00 0.66
14.00 0.70 82.00 0.82
16.00 0.80 93.00 0.93
18.00 0.90 99.00 0.99
20.00 1.00 100.00 1.00
22.00 1.10 99.00 0.99
24.00 1.20 93.00 0.93
26.00 1.30 86.00 0.86
30.00 1.50 68.00 0.68
34.00 1.70 46.00 0.46
38.00 1.90 33.00 0.33
44.00 2.20 21.00 0.21
52.00 2.60 11.00 0.11
64.00 3.20 4.00 0.04
100.00 5.00 0.00 0.00
Tp = 0.833 qp = 7.49
t q0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.10 0.08 0.03 0.22
0.30 0.25 0.19 1.42
0.40 0.33 0.31 2.32
0.60 0.50 0.66 4.94
0.70 0.58 0.82 6.14
0.80 0.67 0.93 6.97
0.90 0.75 0.99 7.42
1.00 0.83 1.00 7.49
1.10 0.92 0.99 7.42
1.20 1.00 0.93 6.97
1.30 1.08 0.86 6.44
1.50 1.25 0.68 5.09
1.70 1.42 0.46 3.45
1.90 1.58 0.33 2.47
2.20 1.83 0.21 1.57
2.60 2.17 0.11 0.82
3.20 2.67 0.04 0.30
5.00 4.17 0.00 0.00
t/Tp q/qp
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
Hidrograma unitario adimensional SCS
t/Tp
q/q
p
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Hidrograma Generado
t (horas)
q (
m3
/s.c
m)
Método de GumbelT (años) PP (mm) LCI(PP) LCS(PP)
2 32.50 29.25 35.765 39.85 36.23 43.48
10 44.72 40.32 49.1225 50.87 45.19 56.5650 55.44 48.69 62.1975 58.09 50.69 65.49
100 59.97 52.10 67.83150 62.61 54.08 71.14200 64.48 55.47 73.49300 67.12 57.43 76.81400 68.99 58.81 79.16500 70.43 59.88 80.99
1000 74.93 63.20 86.67
T Log-Normal Gumbel Log-Pearson2 32.90 32.50 32.735 40.37 39.85 40.30
10 44.94 44.72 45.0825 50.37 50.87 50.9350 54.23 55.44 55.1775 56.41 58.09 57.61
100 57.94 59.97 59.33150 60.07 62.61 61.75200 61.57 64.48 63.47300 63.66 67.12 65.88400 65.13 68.99 67.60500 66.26 70.43 68.93
1000 69.77 74.93 73.09
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
COMPARATIVO DE MÉTODOS DE DISTRIBUCIÓN DE PROBABILIDAD ESTACIÓN LARAQUERI
Log-Normal Gumbel Log-PearsonTiempo de retorno (años)
Pre
cip
itació
n M
áxim
a (
mm
)
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
COMPARATIVO DE MÉTODOS DE DISTRIBUCIÓN DE PROBABILIDAD ESTACIÓN LARAQUERI
Log-Normal Gumbel Log-PearsonTiempo de retorno (años)
Pre
cip
itació
n M
áxim
a (
mm
)