HS-201 Presentation 2

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    HS 201

    introducing

    Economic Growth &Poverty

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    Low Per Capita IncomeLow Standard of LivingHigh PovertyInequal Income DistributionDominance ofAgricultureExistence of Rich ResourcesInadequate Capital Formation

    Unemployment andUnderemploymentTechnological BackwardnessInfrastructural InadequaciesDualistic Econom

    Features ofIndian Economy

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    Second levelThird levelFourth levelFifth level

    GDP Growth 2000 - 2012

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    GDP Growth during 2000-2012

    SOURCE : WWW.

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    Economic sectors

    These are the main factors dominating IndianEconomy

    1Finance

    2Industries

    3Agriculture

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    Finance Sector

    Involves money exchange

    1

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    Finance Sector

    Prime Minister Indira Gandhi nationalised 14 banks in 1969,followed by six others in 1980

    Since then, the number of bank branches has increased from10,120 in 1969 to 1,15,910 in 2008

    Currently, India has 88 scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) 28public sector banks, 29 private banks and 31 foreign bank

    They have a combined network of over 53,000 branches and17,000 ATMs

    The public sector banks hold over 75% of total assets of thebanking industry, with the private and foreign banks holding 18.2%and 6.5% respectively

    The BSE Sensex is generally regarded as the most popular andprecise barometer of the Indian stock markets

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    2 Industrial Sector Involves the mobilization of assets in terms of products and

    services

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    Industrial Sector

    o

    Industry accounts for 27.6% of the GDP and employ 17% of thetotal workforce

    o one-third of the industrial labour force is engaged insimple household manufacturing

    oIndia is 16th in the world in terms of nominal factory output

    o Textile manufacturing is the second largest source for

    employment after agriculture and accounts for 26% ofmanufacturing output

    o Tirupur has gained universal recognition as the leading source ofhosiery, knitted garments, casual wear and sportswear

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    3 Agricultural Sector It covers the SOURCE and MAINSTAY of Indian Economy

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    Agricultural Sector

    Agriculture is the mainstay of the Indian economy

    It is the means of livelihood of almost two thirds of the work forcein the country

    Agriculture accounts for approx 18% of India's GDP

    Largest producer in the world of milk, cashew

    nuts, coconuts, tea, ginger, turmeric and black pepper

    World's largest cattle population

    Second largest producer of wheat, rice, sugar, groundnut andinland fish

    Third largest producer of tobacco

    India accounts for 10% of the world fruit production with first rankin the production of banana and sapota

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    Quote Unquote -about Economic Growth

    12

    BRICReport,

    GoldmanSachs

    I have neverseen India sodynamic, vibrant

    and full ofbusiness

    opportunities.

    - Dan Scheinman,Cisco System Inc. as

    told to BusinessWeek, August 2005

    We came to India forthe costs, stayed forthe quality and arenow investing for

    innovation.

    John RedwoodEconomic

    Competitiveness

    Policy Group, UK

    India is now truly a

    land ofopportunity.

    Jack WelchGeneralElectric

    India is adeveloped

    country as far asintellectualcapital is

    concerned.

    Peter LoescherPresident and

    Chief ExecutiveSiemens

    By 2032, India willbe among the threelargest economies

    in the world.

    TravynRhall,

    ACNielsen

    The Indian market hastwo core advantages - an

    increasing presence ofmultinationals and an

    upswing in the ITexports.

    Craig BarrettIntel

    Corporation

    India has evolvedinto one of theworld's leading

    technologycenters.

    Mr Paul de VoijsManaging Director

    Volvo Car India

    India is a veryexciting market and

    the luxury carsegment is growingexponentially here.

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    India is the second fastest growing major economy with a 9.2% increase inGDP per year

    India is already the third largest economy in the world at PPP

    India has seen a huge amount of foreign direct investment in the country,totaling 67.72 billion dollars and is said to be one of the preferred optionsfor FDI

    Indias poverty level is decreasing by 10% annually

    Indian companies have gone on a buying rampage, with Tata Steelacquiring Corus, Mittal buying Arcelor and Tata looking set to buy Jaguarand Land Rover from Ford.

    Every year Indias middle class is increased by 40,000,000 new members

    which shows that the wealth is truly entering societyThe Bombay Stock Exchanges value has been consistently rising, currentlyworth 1.61 trillion dollars, the largest in South East Asia.

    Unemployment has dropped by 2% annually, and illiteracy and mortalityrates have also been falling, indicating that India is not only growing butdeveloping too.

    SomeStatistics

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    ReallyShining

    Is

    India

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    Poverty 345 Million Indians live under the poverty

    line. This means that one in three Indianslive on less than twenty rupees per day.

    7.2% of all Indians are unemployed Indiacomes in at 94th in terms of employment.

    Using the GINI coefficient which is theonly reliable method of calculating

    inequality India scores 0.368 were 0 isperfect equality and 1 is perfectinequality, putting India in the bottom 50of all ranked nations in the world.

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    Poverty is hunger.

    Poverty has no shelter.

    Poverty is being sick and

    not able to see a Doctor. Poverty is Powerlessness

    Poverty is not havingaccess to clean water.

    Poverty is surviving one dayat a time.

    Poverty is not having the

    security of job.

    What is

    POVERTY?

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    Second levelThird levelFourth levelFifth level

    Poverty Statistics According to a recent Indian government

    committee constituted to estimate poverty,

    nearly 38% of Indias population (380 million) ispoor. This report is based on new methodologyand the figure is 10% higher than the presentpoverty estimate of 28.5%.

    Since 1972 poverty has been defined on basis ofthe money required to buy food worth 2100calories in urban areas and 2400 calories in ruralareas. In June this year a government committeeheaded by NC Saxena estimated 50% Indians

    were poor as against Planning Commissions

    2006 figure of 28.5%.

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    POVERTY

    a) Poor Infrastructure

    a) Balance of Payments

    deterioration

    a) High Levels of Debt

    a) Large Budget Deficit

    a) Rigid Labour Laws

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    Agriculture is still the biggest employer in India, with 54% of the Populationengaged in Farming.

    43 % of all Indian land is used in agriculture, but it only contributes 18% of thenations GDP

    Many farmers are subsistence farmers. According to the WHO, 61% of allfarmers cultivate less than 0.4 hectares only enough to feed their ownfamily, with little left over to sell.

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    Agricultural Prices fluctuatewildly and often farmers areforced into debt, produced byextortionist interest rateswhich are unregulated by the

    government. They entercycles of debt so the moneythey earn is never their own.Pressed by either famine andno crops, or a bumper cropand collapsing prices, farmersare often driven to suicide.

    Since 1997 when the statisticswere first recorded 25,000farmers have taken their livesin India.

    In the Vidarbha District ofMaharashtra 1920 farmerskilled themselves betweenJanuary and August of 2007.

    This woman is looking for her brotherwho left a suicide note at her house,they cannot find his body.

    In one district of Maharashtra alone, afarmer kills himself every eight hours.

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    Healthcare: Our Fundamental Right

    Our life expectancy is 68 years, makingour life expectancy the 139nth out of 172countries.

    A growing threat: 5.7 million Indians haveAIDS or HIV out of which 40 % arewomen

    We only one hospital bed for every 74patients who need one.

    We have only one doctor for every 1,230people.

    Despite these statistics, the IndianGovernment still spends more on defencethan it does on health.

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    Education

    Our literacy rate is 61%making us the 145th in theWorld, just above war-tornSudan and just belowgenocidal Rwanda.

    Literacy is defined as Theability to sign ones nameso complete literacy islikely to be even less.

    Guns are moreimportant than books:2.9% of GDP is spendon defence compared

    to 2.6% on education.Is it guns oreducation that willreally make Indiashine?

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    So the question still remains, is India really having aEconomic Growth or it is hiding the poverty reality???

    the TRUTH is :

    Even after more than 50 years of Independence India still has theworld's largest number ofpoor people in a single country. Of itsnearly 1 billion inhabitants, an estimated 260.3 million are belowthe poverty line, of which 193.2 million are in the rural areas and67.1 million are in urban areas. More than 75% of poor people

    reside in villages. Poverty level is not uniform across India. Thepoverty level is below 10% in states like Delhi, Goa, and Punjabetc whereas it is below 50% in Bihar (43) and Orissa (47). It isbetween 30-40% in Northeastern states of Assam, Tripura, andMehgalaya and in Southern states of TamilNadu and UttarPradesh.

    So the QUESTION

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    The Gradual Approach It is based on the belief that the growth ofindustry is going to begin by expansion of other sectors rather

    deliberate expansion of the Industrial Sector by the Government.

    The Big Push Approach It is based on the game race; wherecertain minimum Investment, Purchasing Power or Market Size (push)is necessary.

    Approach for EconomicBalance

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    v Lokesh Chandra Basuv Anshul Garg

    TeamComputer Science and Engineering

    Indian Institute of Technology,Roorkee

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    Whats YourMessage?Thank You!