Balsero Presentation

8/6/2019 Balsero Presentation

1/28

There are Cubans And There AreCubans:

Comparison of Ideological

Tendencies of Cuban-Americans byWaves and Means of Arrival in the

South Florida Area-- Evidence fromthe FIU Cuba Poll 2004


2/28

2004 FIU Cuba Poll

Cuban Research Institute

Institute for Public

Opinion ResearchSchool of Journalism and

Mass Communication

Florida International

University

1,201 randomly selected Cuban-

American respondents were polled

in Miami-Dade County and 606 inBroward. Interviews were completed

on March 16, 2004. The margin of

error for the overall poll is plus or

minus 2.4%. This is the seventh in

the series of FIU/Cuba Polls

conducted since 1991. Overall

results are weighted to be

representative of South Florida as a

whole.


3/28

Figure 1: 2000 Cuban Population Concentration by County

(1.24 Million)

O r

D

53

r w rH

3 r : 3


4/28

Figure 2: uban Migrationby Wave of Arrival

-0,000

100,0001 0,000200,0002 0,00000,0000,000

19 9-

1964

196 -

197

1974-

1979

1980 1981-

1989

1990-

2000


5/28

Table 1: Cuban merican Profile: 2000

Source:Census 2000 SF4

Ethnicity

Foreign

Born

College Degree

or Higher

Below

Poverty

edian

Household

Income

Cuban 68. % 21.2% 14.6% $ 42,642

Hispanic or Latino 40.2% 10.4% 22.6% $ 4, 97

Non-Hispanic White . % 27.0% 8.1% $ 4,698

Total Population 11.1% 24.4% 12.4% $ 0,046


6/28

Mode Of Arrival

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

DIRECT

FLIGHT TO

THE U.S.

FLIGHT TO

ANOTHER

COUNTRY

BY BOAT BY RAFT OTHER,

SPECIFY

%


7/28

Mode of Arrival by Waves

0.0%

10.0%20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%


8/28

Wave of Arrival

Meanage

Medianage

1.5Gen

Collegegraduate

and more

Householdincome

below

20,000

HouseholdIncome

50,000

and more

Race:hite

Gender:Female

Before 1959 7 74 9% 41% 26% 100% %

1959-1964 70 70 12% 49% 22% 44% 98% 8%

1965-1974 6 66 1 % 28% 4% % 96% 6%

1975-1984 4 12% 26% 8% 2 % 94% 0%

After 1985 44 41 1% 0% 8% 17% 91% 47%

US Born 4 29 NA 4 % 9% 61% 88% 44%

Mode of Arrival

Flight to US 57 60 20% 2% 6% 29% 95% 57%

Flight to Other

County

56 58

14% 9% % 27% 96% 54%

By Boat 60 51 1 % 25% % 2 % 9 % 7%

By Raft 41 9 6% 2 % 24% 29% 85% 26%

* 1.5 Generation refer to those who came to the U.S. aged 1-14.

Socio Economic Profile by Wave and Mode ofArrival


9/28

Mean ge b Wave and Mode o Arrival

0

10

20

30

40

50

6070

80

1959-1964 1965-1974 1975-1984 After 1985 US Born Boat Raft

% Mean age


10/28

Median Age by Wave/Mode of Arrival

0

20

40

60

80

1959-

1964

1965-

1974

1975-

1984

After

1985

US Born Boat Raft

% Median Age


11/28

1.5 Generation by Wave/Mode of Arrival

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

1959-

1964

1965-

1974

1975-

1984

After

1985

Boat Raft

1.5 Gener-ation*


12/28

Receiving a College Degree+

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

1959-

1964

1965-

1974

1975-

1984

After

1985

US

Born

Boat Raft

College graduates and more


13/28

Household income below 20,000 By Wave/Mode

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

1959-

1964

1965-

1974

1975-

1985

After

1985

US Born Boat Raft

Household income below 20,000


14/28

House old income 50 000+ By Wave and Mode of Arrival

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1959

1964

1965

1974

1975

1984

e

1985

a a

Household income 50,000 and

more


15/28

Self Identified Race as White by Wave and Mode of Arrival

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

1959-

1964

1965-

1974

1975-

1984

After

1985

US Born Boat Raft

Race: White


16/28

Female Percentage of Population by Wave/Mode of Arrival

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%50%

60%

70%

1959-

1964

1965-

1974

1975-

1984

After

1985

US Born Boat Raft

Gender: Female


17/28

Measures for Exile Ideology

Cubans

M-D andBroward

1959-

1964

1965-

1974

1975-

1984

After

1985

Born

in U.S. Boteros Balseros

Very Important: Political candidate's

position on Cuba 54% 57% 59% 51% 58% 33% 49% 67%

Views Supporting Stronger Opposition

Not Heard in Miami 59% 60% 63% 60% 60% 48% 52% 73%

Strongly Oppose to selling medicine toCuba 25% 32% 35% 31% 15% 17% 23% 14%

Strongly Oppose to selling food to Cuba 35% 49% 48% 41% 21% 21% 35% 35%

Strongly Oppose national dialogue

among Cuban exiles, dissidents,and representatives of the Cuban

government 37% 50% 49% 40% 27% 21% 35% 32%

Should not allow unrestricted travel to

Cuba 54% 72% 70% 59% 32% 50% 59% 31%

In Favor of Continuing the U.S. embargo 66% 75% 77% 68% 56% 54% 69% 54%

Against re-establishing US diplomatic

relations with Cuba 57% 71% 74% 62% 39% 44% 56% 43%

Exile Ideology Measures


18/28

Import nc of Cand dat 's Pos t on on Cuba

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Gen Pop 1959-1964 1965-1974 1975-1984 After 1985 US Born Boat Raft

Very Important: Polit ical

candidate's position on Cuba


19/28

Salience of Cuba and Perception of Public Discourse

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Gen Pop 1959-1964 1965-1974 1975-1984 After 1985 US Born Boat Raft

Very Important: Polit ical

candidate's position on Cuba

Views Supporting Stronger

Opposition Not Heard in

Miami


20/28

Strongly Oppose Medicine and Food Sales

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

General

Pop

1965-

1974

After

1985

Boat

Strongly Oppose toselling medicine to CubaStrongly Oppose to

selling food to Cuba


21/28

Dialogue, Embargo and Diplomatic Relations

0%

10%

20%30%

40%50%

60%70%

80%90%

Gen

Pop

1959-

1964

1965-

1974

1975-

1984

After

1985

US

Born

Boat Raft

Oppose Dialogue

Favor Continuing Embargo

Against Diplomatic Relations


22/28

Remittances and Voting

Cubans

M-D and

Broward

1959-

1964

1965-

1974

1975-

1984

After

1985

US

Born Boteros Balseros

Send Remittances to Relatives in

Cuba 54% 31% 44% 53% 75% 42% 60% 71%

Traveled to Cuba since Leaving 36% 23% 33% 37% 45% NA 37% 53%

Should not allow unrestricted

travel to Cuba 54% 72% 70% 59% 32% 50% 59% 31%

U.S. Citizen 67% 96% 90% 71% 24% 98% 66% 30%

Registered To Vote 90% 95% 93% 86% 82% 86% 88% 74%

Registered Republican 69% 74% 80% 68% 67% 42% 73% 53%

The Issue ofRemittances, Travel and Voting


23/28

Travel and Travel Restrictions

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Gen Pop 1959-1964 1965-1974 1975-1984 After

1985

Boat Raft

Should not allow

unrestricted travel

Traveled to Cuba

since Leaving


24/28

Remittances by Wave and Mode ofArrival

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Gen Pop 1959-1964 1965-1974 1975-1984 After1985 USBorn Boat Raft

Sends

Re ittances


25/28

Remittances by Citizenship Status

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Gen Pop 1959-

1964

1965-

1974

1975-

1984

After

1985

US Born Boat Raft

Sends

RemittancesU.S. Citizen


26/28

Travel and Citizenship

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Gen Pop 1959-1964 1965-1974 1975-1984 After 1985 Boat Raft

Should not allow

unrestricted travel to CubaTraveled to Cuba since

LeavingU.S. Citizen


27/28

Citizenship and VoterRegistration

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

en Pop 1959-1964 1965-1974 1975-1984 Af ter1985 US Born Boat Raft

U.S. Citizen

Registered To Vote


28/28

Registration and Republican Party

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

en Pop 1959-1964 1965-1974 1975-1984 Af ter1985 US Born Boat Raft

Registered To Vote

Registered Republican

Documents

Balsero Presentation