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 Invitación a Charla t ulo Engineering Analysis with vague and imprecise information Resumen Risk and uncertainties are of rapidly growing concern and importance in the light of a quickly growing complexity and changes in our natural and technical environment, economy and society. It has become obvious that approaches to deal with risk and uncertainties in a complex environment can only be effective and efficient when we embark on multi-disciplinary concepts to build our models most realistically. Failure to consider phenomena in such a broad manner can easily lead to unexpected collapse of various natures and to disasters. This seminar provides insight in the multi- disciplinary approaches pursued in the Institute for Risk & Uncertainty in the University of Liverpool. Then, some engineering-mathematical aspects of uncertainty quantification are discussed in the context of vague and imprecise information. Concepts of imprecise probabilities are explained and demonstrated by means of examples. Focus is on fuzzy probabilities. It is illustrated how the model features can be utilised in practical applications, where critical decisions have to be derived. Expositor Dr.-Ing. Michael Beer, Professor of Uncertainty in Engineering and Director of the Institute for Risk & Uncertainty in the University of Liverpool. Sobr e el Expositor Michael Beer graduated with a doctoral degree in Civil Engineering from the Technische Universität Dresden, Germany. As a Feodor-Lynen Fellow of the  Alexande r von Humbo ldt-Foundat ion Dr. Beer pursued research at Rice Univers ity (Houston, TX, USA) together with Professor Pol D. Spanos. From 2007 to 2011 he worked as an Assistant Professor in the Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, National University of Singapore. His research is focused on non- traditional uncertainty models in engineering with emphasis on reliability analysis and on robust design. Dr. Beer is a Member of ASME and its Research Committee on Risk Technology, Mamber of ASCE and Charter Member of its Engineering Mechanics Institute, Member of the European Association for Structural Dynamics, Member of the European Safety and Reliability Association, Member of IACM, Editor in Chief of the Encyclopedia of Earthquake Engineering (Springer), Associate Editor of the International Journal of Reliability and Safety, Associate Editor of the ASCE-  ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Enginee ring Systems as well as Member of seven Editorial Boards including Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics, Computers & Structures, Structural Safety and the International Journal of Computational Methods. Fech a y Lugar Martes 25.03.2013, 11:30 hr, Auditorio Principal, Edificio A, Casa Central Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María Departamento de Obras Civiles

Charla MBeer

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Invitación a Charla

Títu lo Engineering Analysis with vague and imprecise information

Resumen Risk and uncertainties are of rapidly growing concern and importance in the light of aquickly growing complexity and changes in our natural and technical environment,economy and society. It has become obvious that approaches to deal with risk anduncertainties in a complex environment can only be effective and efficient when weembark on multi-disciplinary concepts to build our models most realistically. Failure toconsider phenomena in such a broad manner can easily lead to unexpected collapseof various natures and to disasters. This seminar provides insight in the multi-disciplinary approaches pursued in the Institute for Risk & Uncertainty in theUniversity of Liverpool. Then, some engineering-mathematical aspects of uncertaintyquantification are discussed in the context of vague and imprecise information.Concepts of imprecise probabilities are explained and demonstrated by means ofexamples. Focus is on fuzzy probabilities. It is illustrated how the model features canbe utilised in practical applications, where critical decisions have to be derived.

Exposi tor Dr.-Ing. Michael Beer, Professor of Uncertainty in Engineering and Director of theInstitute for Risk & Uncertainty in the University of Liverpool.

Sobre el

Exposi tor

Michael Beer graduated with a doctoral degree in Civil Engineering from theTechnische Universität Dresden, Germany. As a Feodor-Lynen Fellow of the

 Alexander von Humboldt-Foundation Dr. Beer pursued research at Rice University(Houston, TX, USA) together with Professor Pol D. Spanos. From 2007 to 2011 heworked as an Assistant Professor in the Department of Civil & EnvironmentalEngineering, National University of Singapore. His research is focused on non-traditional uncertainty models in engineering with emphasis on reliability analysis andon robust design. Dr. Beer is a Member of ASME and its Research Committee onRisk Technology, Mamber of ASCE and Charter Member of its EngineeringMechanics Institute, Member of the European Association for Structural Dynamics,Member of the European Safety and Reliability Association, Member of IACM, Editorin Chief of the Encyclopedia of Earthquake Engineering (Springer), Associate Editorof the International Journal of Reliability and Safety, Associate Editor of the ASCE-

 ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems as well as Member ofseven Editorial Boards including Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics, Computers &Structures, Structural Safety and the International Journal of Computational Methods.

Fecha y

Lugar

Martes 25.03.2013, 11:30 hr, Auditorio Principal, Edificio A, CasaCentral

Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María

Departamento de Obras Civiles

Page 2: Charla MBeer